A is for
Ackoff -why Einstein warned of the extinction scenario if humans failed to invent their way into higher order systems needing thinking outside the current system's box; why global networking is a higher order challenge connecting all 6 billion beings in a race to innovate survival ;why societies are most at risk to professionals who lose their hippocratic oaths to connect & care
Anderson - how to put sustainability (valuing life) back into every business case, why there is greater profitability at the top of mount sustainability, and why we should all simultaneously demand transparent maps for how one business's waste outputs can be another organisation's resource inputs, and multiply other courageous networking learning by decalring that it is time globalisation set about internalising externalities
Allee - more clearly than anyone else on the planet, Verna maps how value exchange theory provides the new holon interface and (as yet missing) micro-economics structures of the networking age. Of course, the same holonic molecule is the key to the 21st C door of sustainability investment networks, futures of pensioners, as well as macro-economics and inter-economics (such as connecting 2 industry sectors that had been separate). Leaders who do not know of this mapping capability are in a Bayesian statistical sense bound to compound the destruction of global corporation value over time.
M is for Macrae, NormanHis future history surveys in The Economist demonstrated what sorts of forecasts can be made becasue systems are already spinning. In the early 60s, Consider Japan showed that as Japan was already on a quality exponential with selected products including microelectronics and cars, and at that time with labour over 5 times chepaer than its international competitors in these markets, it was a sfae bet that Japan's economy would go into almost exponetial growthBefore more of Norman's lifestory of future history mapping as one of the 20th C's senior economic authorities, we note there are a handful of other future historians who have identified new patterns that are already spinning so brilliantly in one place in the world, that they are statistically likely to spread everywhere in the future. These include Naisbitt Megatrends (though these did play to some extent to stories the media wanted to adopt), Drucker all the deep future opportunities of knowledge work, and Tofler's waves.
Next Norman surveyed what future systems could structurally fit preneurs : 1976 Entrepreneurial Revolution...1982 Intrapreneurial Now ...Today Sustainability Investment Entrepreneurs on whose next 5 year track record of successes 1 2 3 the whole humanity of globalisation dependsTo see why this system prediction has been known since 1984, your first introduction would need to browse the short extracts of the book that I co-authored with
Norman extracts 2024 Report - the book Norman & Chris Macrae wrote in 1984 timelining changes that globalisation and networks would caues all transparent people communities to unite and search for:
Changing communications, and what makes people distant, bossy, etc
Changing national politics
Changing economics
Changing employment
Changing education
Your editor's first mapping with his own discovery of the holon of value exchange theory forecast where the interacting false logics of 20th C communications agencies and measurement professionals were going to take the combined waste of global accounting and global advertising. Although the conflicts were identified several quarters before the meltdown, there was not time to retrain 100 top managers who denied that their organisation's multibillion valuation could be zeroised by compound destruction of trust-flow. This ultimately burst at the demand coordinate of society that was disgusted to see the shredding of true and fair behaviours, notably that society had entrusted in licensing partners to a quasi-professional monopoly. The cost to the youthful dotcom economy of "built to flip" auditing -and where globalisation could now be heading in integrating humanity's societies - was and is many orders of magnitude greater than the demise of this mathematically careless professional elite.
If we look at the top picture's value exchange tensions from a sector or sector* sector perspective, we see that there are 45 main elasticities to synchronously cross-examine to see whether the sector is compounding value for all or desruction for all. Each elasticity between pairs of coordinates is at risk of snapping or being snapped if it is pulled too hard or quality changed in some way. Also each is a route of trust-flow that may go any way round though some powerful people at the top communicate or measure as if the flow is only controlled one way. This illustrates why there is so much conflict resolution mapmakers need to systemically prepare for - whether we are looking at the macro future of the sector or zoom down to any individual value exchange holon within one of its biggest organisations. The mapmaker needs an open catalogue of what other whole systemic methods (open space, emotional intelligence, socila network mapping surveys etc) can most suitably intervene depending on what elasticity is found to need repairing first. and/or how repairing one elasticity will wave systemically through many of the others in win-win-win ways. Strategy, operations, and other budgeted activities impacting intangibles valuation, network transparency or compound multipliers of sustainability investment now depend on knowing what state the human relations configuration is at, before leaders decide on next steps.
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